| Sargent & Lundy Savings Investment Plan |
| LESSONS LEARNED IN 2000 |
| The following excerpts are from an article in the January
2001 issue of "Mutual Funds" magazine. The opinions of the author,
John Brennan, CEO, The Vanguard Group, may or may not reflect those of
the SIP Committee.
The year 2000 will be recalled as a bad one by many investors. But, ironically, 2000 has been a good year for long-term investors, if not for speculators. Why? Because it has had a sobering impact on rampant and unhealthy market euphoria and has exposed the dangers of overactive trading and excessive risk taking. Many lessons can be learned from the year gone by, but the following five stand out as paradigms of investment sense: MAINTAIN A LONG-TERM PERSPECTIVE Investing is a marathon, not a sprint. Once you reach retirement, you'll care little whether you won the race in any given year. But you will take satisfaction in crossing the finish line by achieving financial security for your golden years. IGNORE RECENT PAST PERFORMANCE And these cold, hard numbers do not show how real people are losing real money by chasing past performance. An investor wrote to me in early 2000 saying he could no longer endure the poor performance of his value fund, which was down 17.5% in the prior six months. He moved $25,000 into a small-cap growth fund, which was up 48% in the same period. His timing could not have been worse. Over the next six months, his balance dwindled to $21,000. Simply by staying in the value fund, he would have seen a balance of $29,000 - a 38% difference! TUNE OUT THE "NOISE" DIVERSIFICATION STILL MATTERS MINIMIZE TRADING ACTIVITY Two professors from the University of California studied the behavior patterns of investors before and after they began trading online. While portfolio turnover rate grew by 30%, investment performance declined, falling a full three points behind the market. Over a lifetime of investing, that could cost an investor three-quarters of a million dollars of returns on a $10,000 initial investment. Yes, 2000 will be remembered as a tough year for investors' wealth and psyches, but it also provided invaluable lessons for the future. Remember philosopher George Santayana's warning: "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it."
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This page updated on 12/18/2000